“THE MORNING MEETING” DAYBOOK
WEDNESDAY, SEPTEMBER 18, 2024
Join “The Morning Meeting” LIVE at 9:00am ET this morning by Zoom here.
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See you live at 9:00am ET.
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Today live at 3pm ET on 2WAY, the legendary Jim Grant, of Grant's Interest Rate Observer, will give us all his immediate reaction to the Fed interest rate decision coming right before at 2pm.
Those who join via the 2WAY platform will have the great opportunity to ask Grant about what the Fed choice means for the American economy, consumers, home seekers, and beyond.
Join LIVE and interactive on Zoom here.
Watch LIVE on YouTube here.
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DAYBOOK, all Eastern Time unless otherwise noted
* Jay Powell
2:30pm: Holds press conference commenting on Fed’s 2pm announcement on interest rates.
* Kamala Harris
* Donald Trump
* Tim Walz
No known events at this writing.
* JD Vance
* Doug Emhoff
* Joe Biden
“The Morning Meeting” topics:
* What will be “the story” today?
* How should the campaigns get ready for the Fed announcement?
* Is Liam Donovan’s framing of the race spot on?
* Is Kamala Harris’ media strategy sound?
ESSENTIAL READING
* Liam Donovan:
A bull case exists for either side.
Harris is the clear if narrow polling leader, and she has the look of a winner if only based on the well-executed strategy over the course of the abbreviated campaign. Her image is suddenly net favorable for the first time since July of 2021(!), an improvement of 17 points in just two months. She enjoys the more motivated base, a growing resource advantage, and will benefit from a significant edge on the ground. And without a robust market for third party candidates, the threshold for victory is likely to be closer to 2020 than Trump’s 2016 win number.
Trump is polling significantly better today than he did at any point in either his victorious 2016 campaign or his near miss in 2020. Despite a flawless rollout, two months of unabated news cycle dominance, and the conspicuous benevolence of the mainstream media, Kamala Harris barely leads, and by some measures narrowly trails. Trump has an edge on the issue voters say they care most about (the economy), is less likely to be seen as too ideological, and is viewed by most as a change candidate in a cycle where the last thing they want is more of the same.
[Harris’ is the easier one to write at the moment, but the case certainly exists.]
* Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll:
* Scripps poll:
A majority of Americans support the mass deportation of undocumented immigrants, according to a new Scripps News/Ipsos survey.
Fifty-four percent of respondents said they “strongly” or” somewhat support” the policy, including 86% of Republicans, 58% of independents, and 25% of Democrats.